Weekly levels

Every Monday before the US open: the trend and the levels I’m watching on the S&P 500, Bitcoin, gold and EUR/USD. No trade calls. Each week’s levels are scored when the week is over, so you can see how they did.

Week of Oct 5, 2026

This week

Levels from the close of Oct 2, 2026 · published Oct 5, 2026 · scored after Oct 9, 2026

S&P 500

Uptrend

Close 7,723 (Oct 2, 2026)

50-day 7,658 · 200-day 7,226

R2	7,794	swing high, Aug 5, 2026
R1	7,755	last week’s high
Close	7,723
S1	7,700	round number
S2	7,617	last week’s low

A daily close below 7,617 would break the lower support; below the 50-day average (7,658) the trend reading turns mixed.

Bitcoin

Uptrend

Close 86,513 (Oct 4, 2026)

50-day 79,028 · 200-day 71,502

R2	90,000	round number
R1	87,146	last week’s high
Close	86,513
S1	85,000	round number
S2	82,571	last week’s low

A daily close below 82,571 would break the lower support; below the 50-day average (79,028) the trend reading turns mixed.

Gold

Downtrend

Close 4,162.3 (Oct 2, 2026)

50-day 4,366.3 · 200-day 4,553.4

R2	4,315.6	last week’s high
R1	4,215.5	swing high, Jul 6, 2026
Close	4,162.3
S1	4,100.0	round number
S2	4,046.2	swing low, Jun 11, 2026

A daily close above 4,315.6 would clear the upper resistance; above the 50-day average (4,366.3) the trend reading turns mixed.

EUR/USD

Downtrend

Close 1.1250 (Oct 2, 2026)

50-day 1.1531 · 200-day 1.1612

R2	1.1392	last week’s high
R1	1.1325	swing low, Jun 24, 2026
Close	1.1250
S1	1.1219	last week’s low
S2	1.1100	round number

A daily close above 1.1392 would clear the upper resistance; above the 50-day average (1.1531) the trend reading turns mixed.

The record

2 weeks scored: 2 levels held, 8 broke, 22 were not reached.

Week of Sep 28, 2026: 0 held, 6 broke, 10 not reached

Market	Level	Price	Result
S&P 500	R1	7,782	Not reached
S&P 500	R2	7,817	Not reached
S&P 500	S1	7,700	Broke (Sep 28, 2026)
S&P 500	S2	7,663	Broke (Sep 30, 2026)
Bitcoin	R1	87,364	Not reached
Bitcoin	R2	90,000	Not reached
Bitcoin	S1	82,262	Not reached
Bitcoin	S2	80,867	Not reached
Gold	R1	4,363.5	Not reached
Gold	R2	4,422.1	Not reached
Gold	S1	4,278.3	Broke (Sep 28, 2026)
Gold	S2	4,215.5	Broke (Sep 28, 2026)
EUR/USD	R1	1.1400	Not reached
EUR/USD	R2	1.1495	Not reached
EUR/USD	S1	1.1360	Broke (Sep 30, 2026)
EUR/USD	S2	1.1325	Broke (Oct 2, 2026)

Week of Sep 21, 2026: 2 held, 2 broke, 12 not reached

Market	Level	Price	Result
S&P 500	R1	7,794	Not reached
S&P 500	R2	7,900	Not reached
S&P 500	S1	7,700	Held
S&P 500	S2	7,657	Not reached
Bitcoin	R1	90,000	Not reached
Bitcoin	R2	95,000	Not reached
Bitcoin	S1	85,000	Broke (Sep 23, 2026)
Bitcoin	S2	81,911	Not reached
Gold	R1	4,439.8	Not reached
Gold	R2	4,510.1	Not reached
Gold	S1	4,329.2	Broke (Sep 23, 2026)
Gold	S2	4,273.3	Not reached
EUR/USD	R1	1.1478	Not reached
EUR/USD	R2	1.1513	Not reached
EUR/USD	S1	1.1379	Held
EUR/USD	S2	1.1354	Not reached

How the levels are picked

Trend: the last close against the 50- and 200-day averages. Above both is an uptrend, below both a downtrend, anything else mixed.
Levels: swing highs and lows of the last 120 sessions, last week’s high and low, and round numbers. Levels that sit too close together count as one, and a swing or last week’s level wins over a round number.
Resistance and support: the two nearest levels above the close and the two nearest below it.
Scoring: from the first session after publishing to Friday. Held = price reached the level but did not close beyond it. Broke = a daily close beyond it.
Honest record: a missed week stays missed. Nothing is back-filled or edited after the fact. Prices: Yahoo Finance daily data.

Not financial advice. This is educational content, shared for information and entertainment only, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Backtests and past results do not guarantee future results, and the numbers or charts here may contain mistakes. Trading carries risk, including losing all the money you put in. Do your own research before you make any decision.