Weekly levels

Every Monday before the US open: the trend and the levels I’m watching on the S&P 500, Bitcoin, gold and EUR/USD. No trade calls. Each week’s levels are scored when the week is over, so you can see how they did.

Week of Sep 21, 2026

This week

Levels from the close of Sep 22, 2026 · published Sep 23, 2026 · scored after Sep 25, 2026

S&P 500

Uptrend

Close 7,764 (Sep 22, 2026)

50-day 7,626 · 200-day 7,192

R2	7,900	round number
R1	7,794	swing high, Aug 5, 2026
Close	7,764
S1	7,700	round number
S2	7,657	last week’s high

A daily close below 7,657 would break the lower support; below the 50-day average (7,626) the trend reading turns mixed.

Bitcoin

Uptrend

Close 86,172 (Sep 22, 2026)

50-day 74,125 · 200-day 70,673

R2	95,000	round number
R1	90,000	round number
Close	86,172
S1	85,000	round number
S2	81,911	last week’s high

A daily close below 81,911 would break the lower support; below the 50-day average (74,125) the trend reading turns mixed.

Gold

Mixed

Close 4,376.4 (Sep 22, 2026)

50-day 4,338.1 · 200-day 4,554.9

R2	4,510.1	swing low, May 4, 2026
R1	4,439.8	last week’s high
Close	4,376.4
S1	4,329.2	swing low, Sep 2, 2026
S2	4,273.3	last week’s low

Price sits between its averages. A close above 4,554.9 would put it above both (uptrend); a close below 4,338.1 would put it below both (downtrend).

EUR/USD

Downtrend

Close 1.1465 (Sep 22, 2026)

50-day 1.1541 · 200-day 1.1628

R2	1.1513	swing low, Aug 13, 2026
R1	1.1478	swing high, Jul 16, 2026
Close	1.1465
S1	1.1379	swing low, Jul 14, 2026
S2	1.1354	swing low, Jul 28, 2026

A daily close above 1.1513 would clear the upper resistance; above the 50-day average (1.1541) the trend reading turns mixed.

The record

Nothing to score yet: the first week closes on Sep 25, 2026. Every week’s levels get one of three results: not reached, held (price got there but did not close beyond it) or broke (a daily close beyond it).

How the levels are picked

Trend: the last close against the 50- and 200-day averages. Above both is an uptrend, below both a downtrend, anything else mixed.
Levels: swing highs and lows of the last 120 sessions, last week’s high and low, and round numbers. Levels that sit too close together count as one, and a swing or last week’s level wins over a round number.
Resistance and support: the two nearest levels above the close and the two nearest below it.
Scoring: from the first session after publishing to Friday. Held = price reached the level but did not close beyond it. Broke = a daily close beyond it.
Honest record: a missed week stays missed. Nothing is back-filled or edited after the fact. Prices: Yahoo Finance daily data.

Not financial advice. This is educational content, shared for information and entertainment only, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Backtests and past results do not guarantee future results, and the numbers or charts here may contain mistakes. Trading carries risk, including losing all the money you put in. Do your own research before you make any decision.