Weekly levels

Every Monday before the US open: the trend and the levels I’m watching on the S&P 500, Bitcoin, gold and EUR/USD. No trade calls. Each week’s levels are scored when the week is over, so you can see how they did.

Week of Oct 12, 2026

This week

Levels from the close of Oct 9, 2026 · published Oct 12, 2026 · scored after Oct 16, 2026

S&P 500

Uptrend

Close 7,812 (Oct 9, 2026)

50-day 7,697 · 200-day 7,251

R2	7,900	round number
R1	7,845	last week’s high
Close	7,812
S1	7,794	swing high, Aug 5, 2026
S2	7,728	last week’s low

A daily close below 7,728 would break the lower support; below the 50-day average (7,697) the trend reading turns mixed.

Bitcoin

Uptrend

Close 83,681 (Oct 11, 2026)

50-day 80,942 · 200-day 71,980

R2	86,972	last week’s high
R1	85,000	round number
Close	83,681
S1	82,571	swing low, Sep 28, 2026
S2	81,347	swing high, Aug 28, 2026

A daily close below 81,347 would break the lower support; below the 50-day average (80,942) the trend reading turns mixed.

Gold

Downtrend

Close 4,216.3 (Oct 9, 2026)

50-day 4,377.0 · 200-day 4,548.0

R2	4,329.2	swing low, Sep 2, 2026
R1	4,273.3	swing low, Sep 16, 2026
Close	4,216.3
S1	4,171.4	swing high, Jul 22, 2026
S2	4,091.2	last week’s low

A daily close above 4,329.2 would clear the upper resistance; above the 50-day average (4,377.0) the trend reading turns mixed.

EUR/USD

Downtrend

Close 1.1213 (Oct 9, 2026)

50-day 1.1510 · 200-day 1.1599

R2	1.1325	swing low, Jun 24, 2026
R1	1.1276	last week’s high
Close	1.1213
S1	1.1162	last week’s low
S2	1.1100	round number

A daily close above 1.1325 would clear the upper resistance; above the 50-day average (1.1510) the trend reading turns mixed.

The record

3 weeks scored: 3 levels held, 14 broke, 31 were not reached.

Week of Oct 5, 2026: 1 held, 6 broke, 9 not reached

Market	Level	Price	Result
S&P 500	R1	7,755	Broke (Oct 5, 2026)
S&P 500	R2	7,794	Broke (Oct 6, 2026)
S&P 500	S1	7,700	Not reached
S&P 500	S2	7,617	Not reached
Bitcoin	R1	87,146	Not reached
Bitcoin	R2	90,000	Not reached
Bitcoin	S1	85,000	Broke (Oct 7, 2026)
Bitcoin	S2	82,571	Broke (Oct 8, 2026)
Gold	R1	4,215.5	Broke (Oct 9, 2026)
Gold	R2	4,315.6	Not reached
Gold	S1	4,100.0	Held
Gold	S2	4,046.2	Not reached
EUR/USD	R1	1.1325	Not reached
EUR/USD	R2	1.1392	Not reached
EUR/USD	S1	1.1219	Broke (Oct 6, 2026)
EUR/USD	S2	1.1100	Not reached

Week of Sep 28, 2026: 0 held, 6 broke, 10 not reached

Market	Level	Price	Result
S&P 500	R1	7,782	Not reached
S&P 500	R2	7,817	Not reached
S&P 500	S1	7,700	Broke (Sep 28, 2026)
S&P 500	S2	7,663	Broke (Sep 30, 2026)
Bitcoin	R1	87,364	Not reached
Bitcoin	R2	90,000	Not reached
Bitcoin	S1	82,262	Not reached
Bitcoin	S2	80,867	Not reached
Gold	R1	4,363.5	Not reached
Gold	R2	4,422.1	Not reached
Gold	S1	4,278.3	Broke (Sep 28, 2026)
Gold	S2	4,215.5	Broke (Sep 28, 2026)
EUR/USD	R1	1.1400	Not reached
EUR/USD	R2	1.1495	Not reached
EUR/USD	S1	1.1360	Broke (Sep 30, 2026)
EUR/USD	S2	1.1325	Broke (Oct 2, 2026)

Week of Sep 21, 2026: 2 held, 2 broke, 12 not reached

Market	Level	Price	Result
S&P 500	R1	7,794	Not reached
S&P 500	R2	7,900	Not reached
S&P 500	S1	7,700	Held
S&P 500	S2	7,657	Not reached
Bitcoin	R1	90,000	Not reached
Bitcoin	R2	95,000	Not reached
Bitcoin	S1	85,000	Broke (Sep 23, 2026)
Bitcoin	S2	81,911	Not reached
Gold	R1	4,439.8	Not reached
Gold	R2	4,510.1	Not reached
Gold	S1	4,329.2	Broke (Sep 23, 2026)
Gold	S2	4,273.3	Not reached
EUR/USD	R1	1.1478	Not reached
EUR/USD	R2	1.1513	Not reached
EUR/USD	S1	1.1379	Held
EUR/USD	S2	1.1354	Not reached

How the levels are picked

Trend: the last close against the 50- and 200-day averages. Above both is an uptrend, below both a downtrend, anything else mixed.
Levels: swing highs and lows of the last 120 sessions, last week’s high and low, and round numbers. Levels that sit too close together count as one, and a swing or last week’s level wins over a round number.
Resistance and support: the two nearest levels above the close and the two nearest below it.
Scoring: from the first session after publishing to Friday. Held = price reached the level but did not close beyond it. Broke = a daily close beyond it.
Honest record: a missed week stays missed. Nothing is back-filled or edited after the fact. Prices: Yahoo Finance daily data.

Not financial advice. This is educational content, shared for information and entertainment only, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Backtests and past results do not guarantee future results, and the numbers or charts here may contain mistakes. Trading carries risk, including losing all the money you put in. Do your own research before you make any decision.