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Sell in May and go away?

I don’t make trading decisions based on sayings that rhyme well. There has been a seasonality expectation that the period of lower performance in equities tends to be from May to October, and the period of higher performance from November to April. I am a quant and I like to look at data to verify […]

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In the markets you don’t make it happen, you let it happen

When it comes to a career or entrepreneurship, it’s often said that you need to be up to your game and make it happen. Nobody else is going to do it for you. I agree. Taking this mindset to trading may not work out well, because we don’t control the market, we can’t make it […]

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I’m attacking the risk, not trying to avoid it

The title is a quote I heard from Tom Basso, a semi-retired trader featured in “The New Market Wizards” book that was published in 1992. According to his idea, risk is something you can’t get away from if you want to earn excess returns. No matter how much you try to optimize the entry / […]

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Comparison makes market participants unhappy

Happy New Year! Absolute performance measures the annual returns of a portfolio, while relative performance compares it to a benchmark or some index. Part of our human nature is to compare what we have or achieve to someone else be it a friend, neighbor, co-worker etc. We may be satisfied with our new car until […]

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Timing the Nasdaq 100 index (QQQ)

Earlier this year I posted a simple strategy on how to beat the S&P 500 index with market timing. I had done the backtest on 21 years of data in AmiBroker. I am now publishing the results of a backtest using the same strategy on the Nasdaq 100 index. The backtest was done in TradeStation on […]

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