Blog

Essays on trading psychology and method, chart reads and market notes, since 2018.

117 posts · page 2 of 20

Cup and handle pattern: The rules and a real breakout

By Markus · November 3, 2026 · 6 min

A cup and handle is a bullish continuation pattern: after a rise, the price builds a rounded, U-shaped base (the cup), pulls back a little near the…

By Markus · November 2, 2026 · 5 min

The US midterm elections were held on Tuesday, 3 November 2026. I looked at what the S&P 500 did after every midterm since 1950. Twelve months after…

By Markus · November 1, 2026 · 5 min

Bitcoin’s 200-day moving average was $73,170 on 8 November 2026, and Bitcoin closed 2.1% above it. Since April 2015 it has closed above the line on…

By Markus · October 31, 2026 · 7 min

Max pain is the strike price where option holders would collect the least at expiry, and the theory says the stock gets pulled toward it before…

By Markus · October 30, 2026 · 6 min

Most day traders make nothing. They lose money. In one large study of real accounts, 97% of Brazilians who day traded futures for at least 300 days…

By Markus · October 29, 2026 · 6 min

A Keltner channel is a 20-day exponential moving average with a line two average true ranges above it and two below. I tested it on 56 years of S&P…