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Bitcoin halving dates 2012, 2016, 2020, 2024: What came next
Bitcoin has had four halvings: 28 November 2012, 9 July 2016, 11 May 2020 and 20 April 2024. After each one the price peaked 371 to 546 days later…
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Essays on trading psychology and method, chart reads and market notes, since 2018.
96 posts · page 2 of 16
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How do prop firms make money? A coin-flipper’s $50K challenge
Prop firms make most of their money from challenge fees, not from trading. At Topstep, even the funded account you earn by passing is simulated – the…
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Fair value gap (FVG): A test on 26 years of S&P 500 data
A fair value gap (FVG) is a three-candle pattern: the first candle’s high and the third candle’s low don’t overlap, and the empty space between them…
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S&P 500 200-day moving average: What 76 years of data show
On Friday, 9 October 2026, the S&P 500 closed at 7,811.54, about 7.7% above its 200-day moving average of roughly 7,251. It has closed above the line…
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Iron condor: What 38 years of S&P 500 data say about it
An iron condor is four options with the same expiry: you sell an out-of-the-money put and an out-of-the-money call, and buy a put and a call further…
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Poor man’s covered call: Testing the rules on real SPY quotes
A poor man’s covered call is a covered call where a long-dated, deep in-the-money call option stands in for the 100 shares. You buy that call, sell a…