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The house edge

In a casino you want to be the house not the gambler. Think of the house edge. The more people come to play, the more a casino can take advantage of its statistical positive expectancy. I hadn’t put much thought to it until couple of years ago a backtest clicked to me. A smaller edge […]

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Blog

Timing the Nasdaq 100 index (QQQ)

Earlier this year I posted a simple strategy on how to beat the S&P 500 index with market timing. I had done the backtest on 21 years of data in AmiBroker. I am now publishing the results of a backtest using the same strategy on the Nasdaq 100 index. The backtest was done in TradeStation on […]

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Book Reviews

Sunny J. Harris – TradeStation Made Easy! – Review

In 2019, my trading started to turn more into quantitative style. First, I backtested ideas manually with charts and spreadsheets, then switched to AmiBroker. I’d been thinking of signing up to TradeStation, a popular trading software and brokerage since the ’90s. Even though AmiBroker Formula Language (AFL) differs from EasyLanguage (EZL) by TS, the process […]

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Book Reviews

Kevin J. Davey – Building Winning Algorithmic Trading Systems – Review

Kevin Davey is a professional systematic trader with over 25 years of experience. He has achieved triple-digit annual returns in three World Cup of Futures Trading Championships. He won the competition in 2006, and got 2nd place in 2005 and 2007. I have listened to him speak on many podcasts. Kevin is a respected trading […]

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Charts

How to beat the S&P 500 index with market timing

The optimistic US stock market at all-time-highs has started to concern many and I’ve been asked how one should prepare for the possible downturn. There is no single indicator nor holy grail to let us know about a bull or bear market, but I’ve found price to be the most reliable indicator when it comes […]