Tag: backtesting

37 posts tagged backtesting, newest first.

37 posts · page 1 of 7

Bull flag pattern: I tested 244 of them

By Markus · November 4, 2026 · 6 min

A bull flag is a sharp rise, a short pullback that drifts lower, and a breakout above the high. I tested 244 of them with fixed rules on the S&P 500…

By Markus · November 2, 2026 · 5 min

The US midterm elections were held on Tuesday, 3 November 2026. I looked at what the S&P 500 did after every midterm since 1950. Twelve months after…

By Markus · November 1, 2026 · 5 min

Bitcoin’s 200-day moving average was $73,115 on 30 October 2026, and Bitcoin closed 5.6% above it. Since April 2015 it has closed above the line on…

By Markus · October 31, 2026 · 7 min

Max pain is the strike price where option holders would collect the least at expiry, and the theory says the stock gets pulled toward it before…

By Markus · October 29, 2026 · 6 min

A Keltner channel is a 20-day exponential moving average with a line two average true ranges above it and two below. I tested it on 56 years of S&P…

By Markus · October 28, 2026 · 7 min

Do stocks go up on Fed days? I took all 261 scheduled FOMC decisions from February 1994 to September 2026 and checked how the S&P 500 closed on each…