In a casino you want to be the house not the gambler. Think of the house edge. The more people come to play, the more a casino can take advantage of its statistical positive expectancy. I hadn’t put much thought to it until couple of years ago a backtest clicked to me. A smaller edge […]
I don’t make trading decisions based on sayings that rhyme well. There has been a seasonality expectation that the period of lower performance in equities tends to be from May to October, and the period of higher performance from November to April. I am a quant and I like to look at data to verify […]
In 2019, my trading started to turn more into quantitative style. First, I backtested ideas manually with charts and spreadsheets, then switched to AmiBroker. I’d been thinking of signing up to TradeStation, a popular trading software and brokerage since the ’90s. Even though AmiBroker Formula Language (AFL) differs from EasyLanguage (EZL) by TS, the process […]
“One thing I have learned over time is the best thing to do is let market price action guide your decision-making and then try to understand the fundamentals as they become more evident and comprehensible.” Paul Tudor Jones (May 2020) I’m a technical trader. My decision to buy or sell a financial asset relies on […]
First off, I do not choose stocks based on fundamentals or narratives. It doesn’t matter which company is making money in my portfolio. Nor do I care about the reason why it’s happening. The only reasons for my portfolio to make money are the share price going either up or down, and wins being larger […]
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