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The house edge

In a casino you want to be the house not the gambler. Think of the house edge. The more people come to play, the more a casino can take advantage of its statistical positive expectancy. I hadn’t put much thought to it until couple of years ago a backtest clicked to me. A smaller edge […]

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Book Reviews

Andreas F. Clenow – Following the Trend – Review

I recently read and reviewed “Stocks on the Move” (2015), which is another book from the author. This one is not so much about stocks, but more diversified about managed futures trading. I liked the other book from Clenow so I decided to get this one, too. It was published already back in early 2013. […]

Categories
Charts

King Dollar

For the past couple of years I’ve heard narratives that the dollar was going to collapse. Who knows, maybe one day it will, but I feel much more comfortable making decisions based on price charts than such narratives. My trading business is in US dollars because I trade the US markets. I live in the […]

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Blog

Sell in May and go away?

I don’t make trading decisions based on sayings that rhyme well. There has been a seasonality expectation that the period of lower performance in equities tends to be from May to October, and the period of higher performance from November to April. I am a quant and I like to look at data to verify […]

Categories
Charts

Technicals often precede fundamentals

It is something I was taught by Dr. Alexander Elder already at the beginning of my trading journey, but I have realized it even more along the way based on my personal experience. A single example in trading doesn’t mean very much as it can often include market noise and randomness. However, these recent examples […]

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