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Blog

Tune out the noise

I went through a meditation course and took notes of my progress for several weeks in 2019, which taught me to look at myself, my actions and feelings from aside as a separate person. It made me aware of so many emotional states I was experiencing while making trading decisions or placing orders. When I […]

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Blog

Backtesting can’t be used to forecast the future

The past is not a good guide to make predictions about the future because the future will be different. One should take as little as possible but as much as necessary from a backtest. A backtest shows how an idea would have worked out in the past if one followed a specific set of rules. […]

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Book Reviews

Robert Carver – Systematic Trading – Review

I’ve been following Rob’s work for quite some time. He is a systematic trend-following trader, who trades different futures markets. He is also very mathematical in his quantitative approach. I decided to read his book about systematic trading to better understand his thought process. It was published in 2015. Introduction to the topic Rob has […]

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Blog

The house edge

In a casino you want to be the house not the gambler. Think of the house edge. The more people come to play, the more a casino can take advantage of its statistical positive expectancy. I hadn’t put much thought to it until couple of years ago a backtest clicked to me. A smaller edge […]

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Blog

Sell in May and go away?

I don’t make trading decisions based on sayings that rhyme well. There has been a seasonality expectation that the period of lower performance in equities tends to be from May to October, and the period of higher performance from November to April. I am a quant and I like to look at data to verify […]

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